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Season 7 Race 9 Hungary - Weather

Discussion in 'Presto GP' started by Daniel Hansson, Dec 7, 2011.

  1. Daniel Hansson

    Daniel Hansson

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    Hello all.

    After some posts in the ”small adjustments..” thread I've decided to change the structure a bit for this race. Instead of having the realistic based ”chance of it raining at any point during a day” we're having ”chance of it raining at any point during a session ” instead. And I'm tweaking the values a bit aswell.

    So here we have the first forecast for the hungarian event:

    The change of rain during a session is 30 %. It most often comes as longer rains, and not so much as showers. Light to medium intensity.

    The second forecast will be posted on tuesday next week at 19.00 UTC, which is 19 o'clock UK time, and 20 o'clock central european time (CET).


    Hope you're ok with us testing this layout for this event. Gimme some feedback on what you think :)

    ------------------------

    Hi everybody.

    I'm testing to split up the forecast on the sessions instead of the days.

    Here is the second forecast for Hungaroring:

    Practice: A long lasting rain seems to be passing over Budapest at the time of the first session. It starts about 2 hours before the session starts. It may stop and clear up towards the end of the session. About medium intensity.

    Qualifying: Cloudy, and there may be some small showers following the first rain over the rest of the day, which makes it risk for rain during qualifying.

    Warmup: A rain front is approaching, but shouldn't hit before or during the warmup.

    Race: The rain mentioned above will start before the race and will last 2 to 4 hours, so the race will very likely be affected by rain. Medium to light intensity.
     
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  2. Peter Marshall

    Peter Marshall

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    Thank you Daniel.
     
  3. Sean Greenlaw

    Sean Greenlaw
    PrestoGP Veteran

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    Thank you Daniel. :cool:
     
  4. Nicolai Nicholson

    Nicolai Nicholson

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    I like it, thanks a lot Daniel :)

    Can I deduct from what you are saying that there is no relevans between the sessions (e.g. that if it rains in q or not does not affect the chance of rain in race), and therefore a (1-(0,7^2))=51% chance that we will have rain in qual and/or race?
     
  5. Valter Ostman

    Valter Ostman
    PrestoGP Veteran

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    "Hope you're ok with us testing this layout for this event. Gimme some feedback on what you think :)"

    Thanks guys, it's fun with a little water now and then.
     
  6. Reik Major

    Reik Major
    Premium

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    Thank you very much Daniel!

    About your requested feedback: We will let you know after the race at which time we had rain. :)
     
  7. Bob Laube

    Bob Laube

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    Thank you Daniel.
     
  8. Kurt Kjellin

    Kurt Kjellin

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    Thank you Daniel. :)
     
  9. Daniel Hansson

    Daniel Hansson

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    Yes, you're correct.

    Maybe we want to change this a bit for future events. It would make sence to have some correlation between the sessions.
     
  10. Vincenzo Cavaliere

    Vincenzo Cavaliere

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    Thanks Daniel! very nice track!! I would like a race with rain
    :)
     
  11. Nicolas Rouge

    Nicolas Rouge

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    Thanks Daniel :)
     
  12. Reik Major

    Reik Major
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    Of course it would make sense. On the other hand it would not be unrealistic if it rains in one session in the morning and some hours later in qualy it doesn't... Finally changing weather at all would mean some fun and changes during a session even more.
     
  13. Valerio Vinassa

    Valerio Vinassa
    PrestoGP Veteran

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    thanks Daniel:)
     
  14. Daniel Hansson

    Daniel Hansson

    Messages:
    422
    Ratings:
    +876
    Hi everybody.

    I'm testing to split up the forecast on the sessions instead of the days.

    Here is the second forecast for Hungaroring:

    Practice: A long lasting rain seems to be passing over Budapest at the time of the first session. It starts about 2 hours before the session starts. It may stop and clear up towards the end of the session. About medium intensity.

    Qualifying: Cloudy, and there may be some small showers following the first rain over the rest of the day, which makes it risk for rain during qualifying.

    Warmup: A rain front is approaching, but shouldn't hit before or during the warmup.

    Race: The rain mentioned above will start before the race and will last 2 to 4 hours, so the race will very likely be affected by rain. Medium to light intensity.
     
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  15. Helder Filipe

    Helder Filipe

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    Thanks Daniel...so wet racing :cool:
     
  16. Valerio Vinassa

    Valerio Vinassa
    PrestoGP Veteran

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    Im happy for rain or not :rolleyes: ? close track where overtake will be not so easy a bit of nice turns more than 50laps all on wet is exciting:D

    THANKS Daniel:)
     
    • Like Like x 1
  17. Nicolai Nicholson

    Nicolai Nicholson

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    Thanks Daniel, very cool, will be exciting and interesting. I better open some wet servers for people to prepare :)
     
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  18. Valter Ostman

    Valter Ostman
    PrestoGP Veteran

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    +1.
     
  19. Kurt Kjellin

    Kurt Kjellin

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    THANKS Daniel:)
     
  20. Reik Major

    Reik Major
    Premium

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    Seems some guys here wet there pants already. :)

    Thx very much Daniel! I like that kind of forecast.